The major problem with the debate regarding changing to the
Chained CPI from the Fixed Weight CPI has to do with the fact that both are
referred to as Cost of Living measures. They are not. The Fixed Weight CPI can
be thought of as the cost of maintaining your standard of living. The Chained
CPI is the cost of living at your current level. When I, and most of my
friends, think of inflation and the cost of living we usually are thinking in
terms of the cost of maintaining our living standard.
Those who want to use the Chained CPI argue that peoples' buying patterns have changed and the Chained CPI would reflect the change. But, people change their buying patterns for several reasons. One
reason is that price changes alter our buying patterns. On the other hand we alter
our buying because our tastes and preferences change. If the only change was due to tastes and preferences
I would support the use of the Chained CPI because the change would represent maintenance
of our Standard of Living. However, if
we change because of higher prices we are lowering our standard of living; the
Chained Index does not reflect this while the Fixed Rate Index does.
Using the Fixed Weight CPI to adjust Social Security,
Veterans Benefits and other government payments allows Seniors and Veterans to
maintain their standard of living. The use of the chained index would lead them
to fall behind. It is also deceptive to the public in general. For an extreme example:
If the cut in food stamps mean that are large portion of the urban population
has to eat dog food, because they can no long afford meat and chicken made for
human consumption, the cost of dog food would be put into the Chained CPI to
reflect how people are spending their money. This would lead to either shrinkage
in the Chained CPI or a perceived lower level of price growth. The Chained CPI
advocates would claim that the cost of living is shrinking or not growing and
start saying how well off we all are. However, are we really better off eating
dog food?
No comments:
Post a Comment